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A Conversation With Kyle Lewis - Former IP Officer

Category: Independence Party
Posted: 10/30/14 20:07

by Dave Mindeman

I had a very pleasant face to face, sit down conversation with former Independence Party Vice Chair Kyle Lewis today. We went through a range of topics but mostly we talked about the IP. Where it is and how it got there.

Here are some of the tidbits....

The Independence Party entered this election season totally unprepared. Recruitment of candidates was meager to non-existent. Since a vacuum like that begs to be filled, members of the Ron Paul/Libertarian faction swooped in. The slate filled up with them. In the beginning, the Senate endorsement was the only real contest. Kyle noted that eventual endorsee Kevin Terrell was a good, solid candidate, but in the beginning Hannah Nicollet was set to challenge him.

Which led to a rather strange scenario.

Hannah Nicollet was an almost invisible candidate. She didn't talk to many delegates...had few events. And at the endorsing convention, she was 3 hours late. And when she did arrive she sat in the back of the room and talked to none of the delegates. (It should be noted that for a major Minnesota political party, the state convention consisted of 50 people. That tells you a lot right there.)

Kyle said they went through the Constitutional offices without incident. As the Governor endorsement was about to be on the docket,...with no names coming forward to compete for it, Kyle got word that Hannah Nicollet wanted to speak to him. When Kyle met with her away from the others, she indicated that she had changed her mind and wanted to seek the endorsement for Governor, rather than the Senate.

Kyle has been in politics for a long time. He was an involved Republican before he joined the IP and he is becoming very active in that GOP capacity again, now that he has left. But Kyle knows that running for Governor and running for Senate are two different animals. Hannah had announced her intent on the Senate endorsement a while ago - now, to turn on a dime and go for a completely different state centric office? Well, let's just say that Kyle was skeptical.

Still, he had to try and make this work. He brought together a quick emergency meeting of the executive committee, and vet Hannah Nicollet for Governor - all the while the convention was in a 20 minute recess with endorsement for Governor next on the agenda. None of the executive committee knew much about her, but given the circumstances, they waved her through and she was endorsed as the IP candidate for governor.

Kevin Terrell was then endorsed for Senate - and the "Independents" were born. (Although Terrell never made it to the commercial because he was defeated in a low turnout primary by a guy named Carlson -yikes...which the Independence Party does not support).

Kyle and I talked about the future of the IP. We were in agreement that the IP has never built any infrastructure. They have little activity at the local level and don't seem to generate any urgency about elections until they are nearly in full swing.

Personally, I have always felt that the Independence Party can serve an important function. A third party alternative keeps the partisan negativity down. Currently, negative ads thrive with two parties because there is nowhere else for the voter to go. Having a viable (key word) third party alternative puts that strategy into question. And makes the IP candidates relevant, even if they don't win the contests.

Local legislative races are the key. If the IP could concentrate resources into a few legislative races and develop a small third caucus in the legislature, it would allow for alternatives and compromises to gain traction.

Kyle and I agreed that it looks like at least one of the statewide candidates should poll that 5%. As he put it, the IP has an actual base of only about 2 to 3 %, but there is an additional 2 to 3% that just want someplace else to cast their ballot -protest votes. He thinks that the Party wrongly believes that they have that 5% floor, while he insists that 2 to 3% is the real floor....and if they don't build some structure, they will soon fade away completely.

Having major party status is a gift for the IP. It could open more doors if they would just build a base infrastructure. They have never been willing to do the grunt work of making those connections that build that base. The celebrity candidate strategy needs to end.

The Independence Party is in a pretty chaotic state right now. Someone needs to rein in the the disparate parts and build some cohesion.

If they survive this election, still holding that major party label, they need to do some serious soul searching - and roll up their sleeves for some hard work.
comments (1) permalink

The Independence Party Might Get That 5% Yet!

Category: Independence Party
Posted: 10/08/14 18:44, Edited: 10/08/14 18:46

by Dave Mindeman

I think there is a chance that the Independence Party might get saved after all. There is an increasing possibility that Hannah Nicollet may, indeed, get that 5% for the Independence Party that can keep them afloat.

And I say that, not because I think Hannah Nicollet has been a great candidate- she hasn't....but its more about Jeff Johnson being a lackluster one.

Johnson continues to use MNSure as a line of attack, when a much more effective idea would have been how to improve MNSure. He lags way behind in money....obviously not convincing any of the big donors that he is a good investment. He has decent commercials - but they don't really say anything. Is there such a thing as a "nice" negative commercial?

Dayton has run a solid incumbent type campaign....and he has good economic data to support him. He is on a path to winning. Which puts Johnson in an awkward situation. He has a party with high negatives....unable to finance unless it comes from an outside group....and a message that is just not resonating. He is in a conundrum with independent voters.

All of that gives Hannah Nicollet that chance. Fortunately for her, the debates that are happening are including her. That's a big deal for a candidate with no money, awkward interviews, and a minimalist message. But considering that both parties have high negatives and the IP has virtually no image, they could get their 5% by default.

I think there is a good chance that 1 in 20 voters will look at the ballot and say - Hannah Nicollet? Who's she? Oh well, I don't like the other guys so she gets my X.

There you go. 5% and party saved.
comments (2) permalink

Tom Horner: IP, GOP, Me - Me - Me

Category: Independence Party
Posted: 09/09/14 14:03

by Dave Mindeman

The turn-coat rats are abandoning ship.

Tom Horner was the Independence Party candidate for Governor in 2010. He told us that the Republican Party had left him and that the new brand of the fiscally responsible - socially moderate Independence Party was the future of politics in Minnesota.

But that was four years ago.

Sensing the imminent demise of the IP, Horner jumps ship and latches onto his old stomping grounds in the GOP. And since Jeff Johnson is desperate enough to need him, we get a press conference that merges their moderate images as the face of the "conservative" MN Republican Party.

The IP has a governor candidate that they actually support and put on their website (as opposed to their Senate candidate), but when the candidate who was their standard bearer 4 years ago endorses the GOP candidate....well, it kinda looks bad.

Of course, Tom Horner has always been an opportunist. He jumped the GOP ship in 2010 when it looked like he could elevate the IP into debate status. It gave him an automatic platform and lots of press coverage. In other words, this is a case of "it's all about me".

Minnpost had an article outlining Horner and his views. Below are the big three policy mantras from Horner:

On education: "A good case is all day kindergarten. Of course it's a fine idea but if you're going to spend $135 million to get kids ready, to get ready for jobs, where is the most valuable return on our money? I think Jeff Johnson is much more likely to [ask that question] rather than Mark Dayton."

On taxes: "I wasn't opposed to raising more revenue, but the way the governor went about it is not in the best long-term interest of Minnesota. Just adding fourth tier only reinforces a tax system that isn't suited to a global market. Maybe we need more revenue but tilt the policy much more to tax consumption and more to reward investment."

On health care: "MnSure is where Republicans could play an effective role. It's good that we're expanding access and covering children and have a more robust marketplace. Now how do we control the underlying drivers of health care?"

There are some phrases in there that I would think the MN GOP conservatives will like a lot.....

All day kindergarten - "a fine idea".....since nobody in the GOP supported it, I guess that sets Horner apart. He quickly moves to the funding issue to get himself in line with Johnson.

"I wasn't opposed to raising more revenue".....oops. That is NOT a good talking point for today's GOP. Horner disagrees with the method not the concept. How about you, Jeff Johnson?

On healthcare - again, wrong words - "It's good we're expanding access and covering children".......whoa - you get the impression that Horner might even "like" MNSure. No words of repeal there. Yikes!

My guess is that Johnson is fine with Horner endorsing him - now he'll quickly move him off stage and out of the way.

And the IP continues its death spiral.
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